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Crown Green Handicap

Kevin Caffery

Team: PensbyDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

719

Current Handicap

12
Honours
Season:

24

Matches Played

14

Wins

10

Losses

58%

Win Rate

7.7

Avg Win Margin

7.0

Avg Loss Margin

9-3

Home Record

5-7

Away Record

38%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
24 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/13/2018

Only 24 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 155/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 24 matches

+12 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

6 May3 Jun17 Jun1 Jul15 Jul5 Aug19 Aug13 Aug-13714

Gives 12 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current12
Win Percentage(40%)
58%
score+0.17→contribution+0.07
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.7
score-0.05→contribution-0.01
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.0
score+0.17→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
60%
score+0.20→contribution+0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
846
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Weighted Score+0.100
Sample Size Confidence
38%(24/39 matches)
Rating1050 → shrunk 1019→ adjusted 719
Handicap
12

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

14W10L24 matches·58.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby2016–2018League 324141058.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/13/2018Jim TunleyA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
4/20/2018Margie RatcliffA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
6/12/2017Sue PeersH21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 3
4/21/2017Ray WoodsA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
8/19/2016Joey SamwaysA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2016Philip TaylorH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
8/8/2016Dave HulmstonA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2016Syd TaylorH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
8/1/2016Malcolm JohnsonA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
7/22/2016Mike LewisH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2016Frank PotterA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2016Tommy SadlerA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
7/4/2016Steve LyonsH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
7/1/2016Sam WilliamsH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
6/24/2016Brian LaneA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
6/20/2016vs Lord NapierH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
6/17/2016Mark HadfieldH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
6/13/2016Andy DawsonH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
6/10/2016Eric CookA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
6/3/2016Terry SmithH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
5/20/2016Paul WilliamsH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
5/16/2016Tony CavanaghA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
5/6/2016Alan HumphreysH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2016John WyburnA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl3 games · 2W
20162 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundKenny BrierleyPoulton21-10WINWON
Round of 16 Round* Paul BranscombeUpton Victory Hall13-21LOSSLOST
20151 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 Round# Eddie LeathamCammell Laird21-17WINWON
Stott Cup3 games · 1W
20163 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundUnlisted PlayerAlbany14-21LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundCliff UptonNaval21-9WINWON
Semi Final RoundBarbara McburneyParkfield7-21LOSSLOST
Veterans Handicap2 games · 1W
20182 rounds
RoundOpponentScoreResult
Round of 16Alan Quinton15-8WIN
QuartersTed Sullivan8-15LOSS

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWWLL
Last 1060% win rate↓ declining
LWWLLWWWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Jim Tunley0110%8/13/2018
Margie Ratcliff101100%4/20/2018
Sue Peers101100%6/12/2017
Ray Woods0110%4/21/2017
Joey Samways0110%8/19/2016
Philip Taylor101100%8/12/2016
Dave Hulmston101100%8/8/2016
Syd Taylor101100%8/5/2016
Malcolm Johnson0110%8/1/2016
Mike Lewis101100%7/22/2016
Biggest Win
Sue Peers (+18)6/12/2017
Heaviest Defeat
Tony Cavanagh (-16)5/16/2016
Best Season
201660% · 20 matches
Worst Season
201660% · 20 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
50% → 67%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
78317 known · 7 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
2-167% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
9-564% win rate
League 358.3%
14W·10L·24 played

Debut

Apr 22, 2016

Latest

Aug 13, 2018

Seasons Active

3 (2.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

8.0 (24 total)

Seasons

201620172018